Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.010859 0.013148 0.016026 0.019996 0.025484 0.033050 0.044752
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.008041 0.010577 0.014186 0.019985 0.029706 0.046820 0.083792
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.006523 0.009014 0.012846 0.019652 0.032761 0.060871 0.144452
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.005352 0.007623 0.011284 0.018229 0.032946 0.069547 0.213574
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004599 0.006710 0.010253 0.017352 0.033728 0.080635 0.332464
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004135 0.006177 0.009737 0.017281 0.036308 0.100312 0.626320
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003837 0.005867 0.009548 0.017814 0.040798 0.134432 1.632149
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003540 0.005513 0.009200 0.017879 0.044086 0.171629 5.215545
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003213 0.005061 0.008584 0.017131 0.044411 0.195454 16.988963
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002973 0.004742 0.008183 0.016814 0.046135 0.235854 319.903106
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002861 0.004646 0.008227 0.017673 0.053065 0.353838 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002788 0.004613 0.008399 0.018948 0.063224 0.607744 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002691 0.004546 0.008536 0.020377 0.077407 1.309510 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002516 0.004304 0.008235 0.020369 0.084384 2.319237 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002347 0.004053 0.007870 0.020027 0.089207 4.080246 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002144 0.003712 0.007238 0.018567 0.084446 4.583402 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001989 0.003459 0.006793 0.017667 0.083367 6.337483 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001887 0.003310 0.006588 0.017594 0.089261 15.936713 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001820 0.003231 0.006549 0.018141 0.102252 188.833709 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001741 0.003115 0.006398 0.018208 0.111315 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001638 0.002940 0.006068 0.017441 0.109989 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001560 0.002814 0.005854 0.017116 0.113934 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001528 0.002788 0.005912 0.017997 0.137023 NaN NaN